UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 11, 2016
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC.
AMERICAN AIRLINES, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
| Delaware | 1-8400 | 75-1825172 | ||
| Delaware |
1-2691 |
13-1502798 | ||
| (State or other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) |
| 4333 Amon Carter Blvd., Fort Worth, Texas | 76155 | |
| 4333 Amon Carter Blvd., Fort Worth, Texas |
76155 | |
| (Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:
(817) 963-1234
(817) 963-1234
N/A
(Former name or former address if changed since last report.)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
| ¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
| ¨ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
| ¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
| ¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
| ITEM 7.01. | REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE. |
On October 11, 2016, American Airlines Group Inc. (“American”) announced via press release certain traffic statistics for September 2016. A copy of American’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Also, on October 11, 2016, American provided an update for investors presenting information relating to its financial and operational outlook for 2016. This investor presentation is located on American’s website at www.aa.com under “Investor Relations.” The update is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
| ITEM 9.01. | FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS. |
(d) Exhibits.
| Exhibit No. | Description | |
| 99.1 | Press Release, dated October 11, 2016 | |
| 99.2 | Investor Update | |
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, American Airlines Group Inc. has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
| AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC. | ||||||
| Date: October 11, 2016 | By: | /s/ Derek J. Kerr | ||||
| Derek J. Kerr | ||||||
| Executive Vice President and | ||||||
| Chief Financial Officer | ||||||
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, American Airlines, Inc. has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
| AMERICAN AIRLINES, INC. | ||||||
| Date: October 11, 2016 | By: | /s/ Derek J. Kerr | ||||
| Derek J. Kerr | ||||||
| Executive Vice President and | ||||||
| Chief Financial Officer | ||||||
EXHIBIT INDEX
| Exhibit No. | Description | |
| 99.1 | Press Release, dated October 11, 2016. | |
| 99.2 | Investor Update | |
Exhibit 99.1
|
|
Corporate Communications 817-967-1577 mediarelations@aa.com
Investor Relations 817-931-3423 investor.relations@aa.com |
FOR RELEASE: Tuesday, October 11, 2016
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP
REPORTS SEPTEMBER TRAFFIC
FORT WORTH, Texas – American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL) today reported September and year-to-date 2016 traffic results.
American Airlines Group’s total revenue passenger miles (RPMs) were 17.8 billion, down 1.7 percent versus September 2015. Total capacity was 21.8 billion available seat miles (ASMs), down 0.4 percent versus September 2015. Total passenger load factor was 81.6 percent, down 1.1 percentage points versus September 2015.
The Company expects its third quarter 2016 total revenue per available seat mile to be down approximately 2 to 3 percent year-over-year. In addition, the Company expects its third quarter pre-tax margin excluding special items to be between 13 and 15 percent. For more financial forecasting detail, including the Company’s anticipated third quarter net special items, please refer to the Company’s investor relations update also filed today.
The following summarizes American Airlines Group traffic results for the month and year-to-date ended September 30, 2016, and 2015, consisting of mainline-operated flights, wholly owned regional subsidiaries and operating results from capacity purchase agreements.
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AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP REPORTS SEPTEMBER 2016 TRAFFIC
October 11, 2016
Page 2
| September | Year to Date | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 2015 | Change | 2016 | 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Revenue Passenger Miles (000) |
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| Domestic |
9,908,464 | 10,131,657 | (2.2 | )% | 97,295,140 | 97,013,596 | 0.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Atlantic |
2,739,187 | 3,021,459 | (9.3 | )% | 21,707,213 | 22,654,133 | (4.2 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
| Latin America |
1,962,471 | 2,136,065 | (8.1 | )% | 22,857,360 | 23,672,719 | (3.4 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
| Pacific |
1,172,951 | 879,836 | 33.3 | % | 9,759,481 | 7,807,332 | 25.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| International |
5,874,609 | 6,037,360 | (2.7 | )% | 54,324,054 | 54,134,184 | 0.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| Mainline |
15,783,073 | 16,169,017 | (2.4 | )% | 151,619,194 | 151,147,780 | 0.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Regional |
1,981,120 | 1,897,245 | 4.4 | % | 18,405,782 | 17,729,206 | 3.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| Total Revenue Passenger Miles |
17,764,193 | 18,066,262 | (1.7 | )% | 170,024,976 | 168,876,986 | 0.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| Available Seat Miles (000) |
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| Domestic |
11,687,161 | 11,846,285 | (1.3 | )% | 114,294,361 | 112,875,313 | 1.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Atlantic |
3,638,589 | 3,829,465 | (5.0 | )% | 29,103,067 | 29,074,734 | 0.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Latin America |
2,437,587 | 2,695,645 | (9.6 | )% | 28,893,692 | 30,030,361 | (3.8 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
| Pacific |
1,430,535 | 1,088,607 | 31.4 | % | 11,694,304 | 9,251,344 | 26.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| International |
7,506,711 | 7,613,717 | (1.4 | )% | 69,691,063 | 68,356,439 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| Mainline |
19,193,872 | 19,460,002 | (1.4 | )% | 183,985,424 | 181,231,752 | 1.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Regional |
2,565,278 | 2,395,706 | 7.1 | % | 23,741,140 | 22,050,471 | 7.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| Total Available Seat Miles |
21,759,150 | 21,855,708 | (0.4 | )% | 207,726,564 | 203,282,223 | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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| Load Factor (%) |
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| Domestic |
84.8 | 85.5 | (0.7 | )pts | 85.1 | 85.9 | (0.8 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Atlantic |
75.3 | 78.9 | (3.6 | )pts | 74.6 | 77.9 | (3.3 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Latin America |
80.5 | 79.2 | 1.3 | pts | 79.1 | 78.8 | 0.3 | pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Pacific |
82.0 | 80.8 | 1.2 | pts | 83.5 | 84.4 | (0.9 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| International |
78.3 | 79.3 | (1.0 | )pts | 77.9 | 79.2 | (1.3 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Mainline |
82.2 | 83.1 | (0.9 | )pts | 82.4 | 83.4 | (1.0 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Regional |
77.2 | 79.2 | (2.0 | )pts | 77.5 | 80.4 | (2.9 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Total Load Factor |
81.6 | 82.7 | (1.1 | )pts | 81.9 | 83.1 | (1.2 | )pts | ||||||||||||||||
| Enplanements |
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| Mainline |
11,248,241 | 11,576,281 | (2.8 | )% | 109,830,096 | 110,682,930 | (0.8 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
| Regional |
4,428,897 | 4,446,505 | (0.4 | )% | 40,907,821 | 41,032,372 | (0.3 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
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| Total Enplanements |
15,677,138 | 16,022,786 | (2.2 | )% | 150,737,917 | 151,715,302 | (0.6 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
| System Cargo Ton Miles (000) |
206,558 | 188,182 | 9.8 | % | 1,753,679 | 1,716,255 | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Notes:
| 1) | Canada, Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands are included in the domestic results. |
| 2) | Latin America numbers include the Caribbean. |
| 3) | Regional includes wholly owned subsidiaries and operating results from capacity purchase carriers. |
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP REPORTS SEPTEMBER 2016 TRAFFIC
October 11, 2016
Page 3
About American Airlines Group
American Airlines and American Eagle offer an average of nearly 6,700 flights per day to nearly 350 destinations in more than 50 countries. American has hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. American is a founding member of the oneworld® alliance, whose members serve more than 1,000 destinations with about 14,250 daily flights to over 150 countries. Shares of American Airlines Group Inc. trade on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol AAL. In 2015, its stock joined the S&P 500 index. Connect with American on Twitter @AmericanAir and at Facebook.com/AmericanAirlines.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and Information
This document includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “plan,” “project,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “continue,” “seek,” “target,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “if current trends continue,” “optimistic,” “forecast” and other similar words. Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future financial and operating results, statements about the expected third quarter pre-tax margin, the expected change in total revenue per available seat mile, the Company’s plans, objectives, estimates, expectations and intentions, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements are based on the Company’s current objectives, beliefs and expectations, and they are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results and financial position and timing of certain events to differ materially from the information in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to the following: significant operating losses in the future; downturns in economic conditions that adversely affect the Company’s business; the impact of continued periods of high volatility in fuel costs, increased fuel prices and significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel; competitive practices in the industry, including the impact of low-cost carriers, airline alliances and industry consolidation; the challenges and costs of integrating operations and realizing anticipated synergies and other benefits of the merger transaction with US Airways Group, Inc.; costs of ongoing data security compliance requirements and the impact of any significant data security breach; the Company’s substantial indebtedness and other obligations and the effect they could have on the Company’s business and liquidity; an inability to obtain sufficient financing or other capital to operate successfully and in accordance with the Company’s current business plan; increased costs of financing, a reduction in the availability of financing and fluctuations in interest rates; the effect the Company’s high level of fixed obligations may have on its ability to fund general corporate requirements, obtain additional financing and respond to competitive developments and adverse economic and industry conditions; the Company’s significant pension and other postretirement benefit funding obligations; the impact of any failure to comply with the covenants contained in financing arrangements; provisions in credit card processing and other commercial agreements that may materially reduce the Company’s liquidity; the impact of union disputes, employee strikes and other labor-related disruptions; any inability to maintain labor costs at competitive levels; interruptions or disruptions in service at one or more of the Company’s hub airports; any inability to obtain and maintain adequate facilities, infrastructure and slots to operate the Company’s flight schedule and expand or change its route network; the Company’s reliance on third-party regional operators or third-party service providers that have the ability to affect the Company’s revenue and the public’s
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AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP REPORTS SEPTEMBER 2016 TRAFFIC
October 11, 2016
Page 4
perception about its services; any inability to effectively manage the costs, rights and functionality of third-party distribution channels on which the Company relies; extensive government regulation, which may result in increases in the Company’s costs, disruptions to the Company’s operations, limits on the Company’s operating flexibility, reductions in the demand for air travel, and competitive disadvantages; the impact of the heavy taxation on the airline industry; changes to the Company’s business model that may not successfully increase revenues and may cause operational difficulties or decreased demand; the loss of key personnel or inability to attract and retain additional qualified personnel; the impact of conflicts overseas, terrorist attacks and ongoing security concerns; the global scope of the Company’s business and any associated economic and political instability or adverse effects of events, circumstances or government actions beyond its control, including the impact of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and limitations on the repatriation of cash held in foreign countries; the impact of environmental and noise regulation; the impact associated with climate change, including increased regulation to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases; the Company’s reliance on technology and automated systems and the impact of any failure of these technologies or systems; challenges in integrating the Company’s computer, communications and other technology systems; losses and adverse publicity stemming from any accident involving any of the Company’s aircraft or the aircraft of its regional or codeshare operators; delays in scheduled aircraft deliveries, or other loss of anticipated fleet capacity, and failure of new aircraft to perform as expected; the Company’s dependence on a limited number of suppliers for aircraft, aircraft engines and parts; the impact of changing economic and other conditions beyond the Company’s control, including global events that affect travel behavior such as an outbreak of a contagious disease, and volatility and fluctuations in the Company’s results of operations due to seasonality; the effect of a higher than normal number of pilot retirements, more stringent duty-time regulations, increased flight hour requirements for commercial airline pilots and other factors that have caused a shortage of pilots; the impact of possible future increases in insurance costs or reductions in available insurance coverage; the effect on the Company’s financial position and liquidity of being party to or involved in litigation; an inability to use net operating losses carried forward from prior taxable years (NOL Carryforwards); any impairment in the amount of the Company’s goodwill and an inability to realize the full value of the Company’s intangible or long-lived assets and any material impairment charges that would be recorded as a result; price volatility of the Company’s common stock; the effects of the Company’s capital deployment program and the limitation, suspension or discontinuation of the Company’s share repurchase programs or dividend payments thereunder; delay or prevention of stockholders’ ability to change the composition of the Company’s board of directors and the effect this may have on takeover attempts that some of the Company’s stockholders might consider beneficial; the effect of provisions of the Company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation and Amended and Restated Bylaws that limit ownership and voting of its equity interests, including its common stock; the effect of limitations in the Company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation on acquisitions and dispositions of its common stock designed to protect its NOL Carryforwards and certain other tax attributes, which may limit the liquidity of its common stock; and other economic, business, competitive, and/or regulatory factors affecting the Company’s business, including those set forth in the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2016 (especially in Part I, Item 2, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and Part II, Item 1A, Risk Factors) and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s other filings with the SEC. There may be other factors of which the Company is not currently aware that may affect matters discussed in the forward-looking statements and may also cause actual results to differ
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP REPORTS SEPTEMBER 2016 TRAFFIC
October 11, 2016
Page 5
materially from those discussed. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof or as of the dates indicated in the statements. The Company does not assume any obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting these forward-looking statements other than as required by law.
###
Exhibit 99.2
Investor Relations Update
October 11, 2016
General Overview
| • | Pre-tax Margin—The Company expects its third quarter pre-tax margin excluding special items to be approximately 13 to 15 percent1. |
| • | Special Items—The Company expects the value of its net special items (before the impact of taxes) in the third quarter to be approximately $300 million, principally consisting of merger integration expenses relating to re-branding of aircraft, airport facilities and uniforms, information technology, alignment of labor union contracts and fleet restructuring. |
| • | Proft Sharing—On March 23, 2016, the Company announced that it would institute a profit sharing program, retrospective to January 1, 2016. As a result, the Company will now accrue 5 percent of its pre-tax profits excluding special items2 for this program, with an anticipated distribution to employees in early 2017. |
| • | CASM—Mainline CASM excluding fuel and special items2 is expected to be up approximately 5 percent to 7 percent in 2016. This forecast incorporates the impact of the joint contracts with the Company’s customer service and reservation agents and dispatchers, as well as the interim agreement with the Company’s fleet service clerks and mechanics and the amended agreement with the Company’s regional pilots. This guidance and the CASM guidance in the following pages includes the impact of profit sharing. |
| • | Capacity—2016 total system capacity is expected to be up approximately 1.5 percent vs. 2015. Full year domestic capacity is expected to be up approximately 1.5 percent year-over-year, while international capacity is also expected to be up approximately 1.5 percent vs. 2015. |
| • | Liquidity—As of September 30, 2016, the Company had approximately $9.2 billion in total available liquidity, comprised of unrestricted cash and investments of $6.8 billion and $2.4 billion in undrawn revolver capacity. The Company also had a restricted cash position of $635 million. |
| • | Fuel—The Company expects to pay an average of between $1.44 and $1.49 per gallon of mainline jet fuel (including taxes) in the third quarter. Forecasted volume and fuel prices are provided in the following pages. |
| • | Cargo / Other Revenue—Includes cargo revenue, loyalty program revenue, ticket change fees, excess/overweight baggage fees, first and second bag fees, contract services, airport clubs and inflight service revenues. |
| • | Taxes—Following the filing of its annual tax return, the Company had approximately $10.5 billion of federal net operating losses (NOLs) and $4.0 billion of state NOLs, substantially all of which are expected to be available in 2016 to reduce future federal and state taxable income. The increase in the federal NOLs from previous guidance is attributable to the election to take bonus depreciation on eligible assets (primarily aircraft) in the 2015 federal income tax return. The Company expects to recognize a provision for income taxes in 2016 at an effective rate of approximately 38 percent, which will be substantially non-cash. |
Notes:
| 1. | For a reconciliation of the current quarter’s net special items, please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. |
| 2. | The Company is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking projections to GAAP as the nature or amount of special items cannot be determined at this time. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
Mainline Update
October 11, 2016
Mainline Comments
| • | All operating expenses are for mainline operated flights only. Please refer to the following page for information pertaining to regional data. |
| • | Mainline CASM excluding fuel and special items has increased from previous guidance due to the Company’s recent agreement with its fleet service clerks and mechanics (which represents an increase of approximately 1.4 points in the third quarter and 2.2 points in the fourth quarter) and lower capacity growth (reduced from previous guidance by approximately half a point in the third quarter and 1 point in the fourth quarter). |
| • | Other revenues include a benefit of approximately $100 million in each of the third and fourth quarters due to the recently announced credit card agreements. |
| 1Q16A | 2Q16A | 3Q16E | 4Q16E | FY16E2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Mainline Guidance1 |
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| Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) |
57.6 | 62.7 | ~63.8 | ~57.5 | ~241.5 | |||||||||||||||
| CASM ex fuel and special items (YOY % change)3 |
9.62 | 9.12 | +8% to +10 | % | +8% to +10 | % | +5% to +7 | % | ||||||||||||
| Cargo Revenues ($ mil) |
162 | 174 | ~170 | ~185 | ~690 | |||||||||||||||
| Other Revenues ($ mil) |
1,186 | 1,194 | ~1,275 | ~1,255 | ~4,910 | |||||||||||||||
| Average Fuel Price (incl. taxes) ($/gal) (as of 10/7/2016) |
1.20 | 1.41 | 1.44 to 1.49 | 1.60 to 1.65 | 1.40 to 1.45 | |||||||||||||||
| Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) |
855 | 931 | ~953 | ~852 | ~3,591 | |||||||||||||||
| Interest Income ($ mil) |
(13 | ) | (16 | ) | ~(17 | ) | ~(11 | ) | ~(56 | ) | ||||||||||
| Interest Expense ($ mil) |
239 | 249 | ~250 | ~255 | ~993 | |||||||||||||||
| Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense ($ mil)4,5 |
(8 | ) | (11 | ) | ~8 | ~4 | ~(8 | ) | ||||||||||||
| CAPEX Guidance ($ mil) Inflow/(Outflow) |
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| Non-Aircraft CAPEX |
(258 | ) | (304 | ) | ~(332 | ) | ~(305 | ) | ~(1,200 | ) | ||||||||||
| Gross Aircraft CAPEX & net PDPs |
(1,295 | ) | (1,161 | ) | ~(836 | ) | ~(1,084 | ) | ~(4,375 | ) | ||||||||||
| Assumed Aircraft Financing6 |
1,501 | 1,178 | ~870 | ~1,058 | ~4,607 | |||||||||||||||
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| Net Aircraft CAPEX & PDPs2 |
206 | 17 | ~34 | ~(26 | ) | ~232 | ||||||||||||||
Notes:
| 1. | Includes guidance on certain non-GAAP measures. The Company is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking projections to GAAP as the nature or amount of special items cannot be determined at this time. |
| 2. | Numbers may not recalculate due to rounding. |
| 3. | CASM ex fuel and special items is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. All CASM guidance includes the impact of profit sharing. |
| 4. | Excludes special items; please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. |
| 5. | Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense primarily includes gains and losses from foreign currency. |
| 6. | Includes financing for 2016 aircraft deliveries, as well as the $1.1 billion of EETC financing completed in Q1 for aircraft delivered in prior years. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
Regional Update
October 11, 2016
Regional Comments
| • | The Company receives feed from 10 regional airlines, including wholly owned subsidiaries Envoy, PSA Airlines and Piedmont Airlines. |
| • | Republic Airways Holdings Inc. filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on February 25, 2016 and the court-supervised restructuring of that company is underway. As part of the restructuring process, Republic capacity provided to the Company has been significantly reduced commencing in the second quarter. |
| 1Q16A | 2Q16A | 3Q16E | 4Q16E | FY16E2 | ||||||||||||||||
| Regional Guidance1 |
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| Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) |
7.50 | 8.08 | ~8.16 | ~7.84 | ~31.58 | |||||||||||||||
| CASM ex fuel and special items (YOY % change)3 |
16.11 | 15.29 | -3% to -5 | % | -3% to -5 | % | -3% to -5 | % | ||||||||||||
| Average Fuel Price (incl. taxes) ($/gal) (as of 10/7/2016) |
1.24 | 1.46 | 1.53 to 1.58 | 1.66 to 1.71 | 1.46 to 1.51 | |||||||||||||||
| Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) |
178 | 191 | ~196 | ~191 | ~756 | |||||||||||||||
| Regional Airlines | ||||||
| Envoy4 | Mesa Airlines, Inc. | |||||
| SkyWest Airlines, Inc.5 | Piedmont Airlines, Inc.4 | |||||
| ExpressJet Airlines, Inc.5 | PSA Airlines, Inc.4 | |||||
| Republic Airline Inc. | Trans States Airlines, Inc. | |||||
| Air Wisconsin Airlines Corporation | Compass Airlines, LLC | |||||
Notes:
| 1. | Includes guidance on certain non-GAAP measures. The Company is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking projections to GAAP as the nature or amount of special items cannot be determined at this time. |
| 2. | Numbers may not recalculate due to rounding. |
| 3. | CASM ex fuel and special items is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. All CASM guidance includes the impact of profit sharing. |
| 4. | Wholly owned subsidiary of American Airlines Group Inc. |
| 5. | Pro-rate agreement and capacity purchase agreement. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
Fleet Update
October 11, 2016
Fleet Comments
| • | In 2016, the Company expects to take delivery of 55 mainline aircraft including 25 A321 aircraft, 20 B738 aircraft, 2 B773 aircraft, 4 B788 aircraft, and 4 B789 aircraft. The Company expects to retire 75 mainline aircraft, including 4 A320 aircraft, 13 B757 aircraft, 14 B763 aircraft and 44 MD80 aircraft. |
| • | In 2016, the Company expects to add 60 regional aircraft, including 18 CRJ700 aircraft, 18 CRJ900 aircraft and 24 E175 aircraft. The Company expects to retire 8 CRJ200 aircraft and 5 Dash 8-100 aircraft and place in temporary storage 1 ERJ140 aircraft. |
| • | As part of its restructuring process and with Bankruptcy Court approval, Republic has entered into an amendment to its Capacity Purchase Agreement with the Company, that, among other things, provides for the reduction in the number of aircraft available to the Company for flying to 76 E175 aircraft (a reduction of 20 E170 and 9 E175 aircraft). The Company has taken various actions to mitigate the effects of this reduction in flying, including by adjusting its mainline schedule and seeking additional capacity from its wholly owned regional subsidiaries and other regional providers. |
Notes:
| 1. | At the end of the third quarter, the Company had 43 ERJ140 regional aircraft in temporary storage not included in the active regional ending fleet count. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
Shares Outstanding
October 11, 2016
Shares Outstanding Comments
| • | On April 21, 2016, the Company’s Board authorized a new $2.0 billion share repurchase program to expire by the end of 2017. This brings the total amount authorized for share repurchase programs to $9.0 billion since the merger. |
| • | In the third quarter, the Company repurchased 18.2 million shares at a cost of $616 million. Including share repurchases, shares withheld to cover taxes associated with employee equity awards and share distributions, and the cash extinguishment of convertible debt, the Company’s share count has dropped 31 percent from 756.1 million at merger close to 519.2 million shares on September 30, 2016. |
2016 Shares Outstanding (shares mil)1
| Shares | ||||||||
| For Q3 |
Basic | Diluted | ||||||
| Earnings |
525 | 529 | ||||||
| Net loss |
525 | 525 | ||||||
| Shares | ||||||||
| For Q4 |
Basic | Diluted | ||||||
| Earnings |
519 | 523 | ||||||
| Net loss |
519 | 519 | ||||||
| Shares | ||||||||
| For FY 2016 Average |
Basic | Diluted | ||||||
| Earnings |
553 | 557 | ||||||
| Net loss |
553 | 553 | ||||||
Notes:
| 1. | Shares outstanding are based upon several estimates and assumptions, including average per share stock price and stock award activity and do not take into consideration any share repurchase activity after the end of the third quarter 2016. The number of shares in actual calculations of earnings per share will likely be different from those set forth above. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation
October 11, 2016
The Company is providing disclosure of the reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their comparable financial measures on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that the non-GAAP financial measures provide investors the ability to measure financial performance excluding special items, which is more indicative of the Company’s ongoing performance and is more comparable to measures reported by other major airlines. The Company believes that the presentation of mainline CASM excluding fuel and special items and regional CASM excluding fuel and special items is useful to investors because both the cost and availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors beyond the Company’s control.
| American Airlines Group Inc GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ mil except ASM and CASM data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1Q16 | 2Q16 | 3Q16 Range | 4Q16 Range | FY16 Range | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Actual | Actual | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainline |
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| Mainline operating expenses1 |
$ | 6,668 | $ | 7,094 | $ | 7,566 | $ | 7,722 | $ | 7,089 | $ | 7,237 | $ | 28,331 | $ | 28,855 | ||||||||||||||||
| Less mainline fuel |
1,029 | 1,314 | 1,372 | 1,420 | 1,363 | 1,406 | 5,079 | 5,169 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Less special items |
99 | 62 | 295 | 295 | — | — | 456 | 456 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Mainline operating expense excluding fuel and special items |
5,540 | 5,718 | 5,898 | 6,007 | 5,726 | 5,832 | 22,796 | 23,231 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainline CASM (cts)1 |
11.58 | 11.32 | 11.86 | 12.10 | 12.33 | 12.59 | 11.73 | 11.95 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainline CASM excluding fuel and special items (Non-GAAP) (cts) |
9.62 | 9.12 | 9.24 | 9.42 | 9.96 | 10.14 | 9.44 | 9.62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainline ASMs (bil) |
57.6 | 62.7 | 63.8 | 63.8 | 57.5 | 57.5 | 241.5 | 241.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Regional |
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| Regional operating expenses1 |
$ | 1,432 | $ | 1,518 | $ | 1,528 | $ | 1,564 | $ | 1,516 | $ | 1,551 | $ | 5,955 | $ | 6,076 | ||||||||||||||||
| Less regional fuel expense |
219 | 279 | 300 | 310 | 317 | 327 | 1,115 | 1,134 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Less special items |
5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 13 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Regional operating expenses excluding fuel and special items |
1,208 | 1,236 | 1,223 | 1,249 | 1,199 | 1,224 | 4,827 | 4,929 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Regional CASM (cts)1 |
19.10 | 18.78 | 18.73 | 19.16 | 19.34 | 19.78 | 18.86 | 19.24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Regional CASM excluding fuel and special items (Non-GAAP) (cts) |
16.11 | 15.29 | 14.99 | 15.31 | 15.30 | 15.62 | 15.29 | 15.61 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Regional ASMs (bil) |
7.50 | 8.08 | 8.16 | 8.16 | 7.84 | 7.84 | 31.58 | 31.58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense |
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| Other non-operating (income)/expense1 |
$ | (8 | ) | $ | 25 | $ | 8 | $ | 8 | $ | 4 | $ | 4 | $ | 29 | $ | 29 | |||||||||||||||
| Less special items |
— | 36 | — | — | — | — | 36 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Other non-operating (income)/expense excluding special items |
(8 | ) | (11 | ) | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | (8 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Notes: Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding.
| (1) | Certain of the guidance provided excludes special items. The Company is unable to fully reconcile such forward-looking guidance to the corresponding GAAP measure because the full nature and amount of the special items cannot be determined at this time. Special items for this period may include items related to merger/transition costs, bankruptcy-related costs, aircraft fleet restructuring costs, labor-related costs and certain other costs. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
Forward Looking Statements
October 11, 2016
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This document includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “plan,” “project,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “continue,” “seek,” “target,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “if current trends continue,” “optimistic,” “forecast” and other similar words. Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future financial and operating results, the Company’s plans, objectives, estimates, expectations and intentions, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements are based on the Company’s current objectives, beliefs and expectations, and they are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results and financial position and timing of certain events to differ materially from the information in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to the following: significant operating losses in the future; downturns in economic conditions that adversely affect the Company’s business; the impact of continued periods of high volatility in fuel costs, increased fuel prices and significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel; competitive practices in the industry, including the impact of low cost carriers, airline alliances and industry consolidation; the challenges and costs of integrating operations and realizing anticipated synergies and other benefits of the merger transaction with US Airways Group, Inc.; costs of ongoing data security compliance requirements and the impact of any significant data security breach; the Company’s substantial indebtedness and other obligations and the effect they could have on the Company’s business and liquidity; an inability to obtain sufficient financing or other capital to operate successfully and in accordance with the Company’s current business plan; increased costs of financing, a reduction in the availability of financing and fluctuations in interest rates; the effect the Company’s high level of fixed obligations may have on its ability to fund general corporate requirements, obtain additional financing and respond to competitive developments and adverse economic and industry conditions; the Company’s significant pension and other postretirement benefit funding obligations; the impact of any failure to comply with the covenants contained in financing arrangements; provisions in credit card processing and other commercial agreements that may materially reduce the Company’s liquidity; the impact of union disputes, employee strikes and other labor-related disruptions; any inability to maintain labor costs at competitive levels; interruptions or disruptions in service at one or more of the Company’s hub airports; any inability to obtain and maintain adequate facilities, infrastructure and slots to operate the Company’s flight schedule and expand or change its route network; the Company’s reliance on third-party regional operators or third-party service providers that have the ability to affect the Company’s revenue and the public’s perception about its services; any inability to effectively manage the costs, rights and functionality of third-party distribution channels on which the Company relies; extensive government regulation, which may result in increases in the Company’s costs, disruptions to the Company’s operations, limits on the Company’s operating flexibility, reductions in the demand for air travel, and competitive disadvantages; the impact of the heavy taxation on the airline industry; changes to the Company’s business model that may not successfully increase revenues and may cause operational difficulties or decreased demand; the loss of key personnel or inability to attract and retain additional qualified personnel; the impact of conflicts overseas, terrorist attacks and ongoing security concerns; the global scope of the Company’s business and any associated economic and political instability or adverse effects of events, circumstances or government actions beyond its control, including the impact of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and limitations on the repatriation of cash held in foreign countries; the impact of environmental and noise regulation; the impact associated with climate change, including increased regulation to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases; the Company’s reliance on technology and automated systems and the impact of any failure of these technologies or systems; challenges in integrating the Company’s computer, communications and other technology systems; losses and adverse publicity stemming from any accident involving any of the Company’s aircraft or the aircraft of its regional or codeshare operators; delays in scheduled aircraft deliveries, or other loss of anticipated fleet capacity, and failure of new aircraft to perform as expected; the Company’s dependence on a limited number of suppliers for aircraft, aircraft engines and parts; the impact of changing economic and other conditions beyond the Company’s control, including global events that affect travel behavior such as an outbreak of a contagious disease, and volatility and fluctuations in the Company’s results of operations due to seasonality; the effect of a higher than normal number of pilot retirements, more stringent duty-time regulations, increased flight hour requirements for commercial airline pilots and other factors that have caused a shortage of pilots; the impact of possible future increases in insurance costs or reductions in available insurance coverage; the effect on the Company’s financial position and liquidity of being party to or involved in litigation; an inability to use net operating losses carried forward from prior taxable years (NOL Carryforwards); any impairment in the amount of the Company’s goodwill and an inability to realize the full value of the Company’s intangible or long-lived assets and any material impairment charges that would be recorded as a result; price volatility of the Company’s common stock; the effects of the Company’s capital deployment program and the limitation, suspension or discontinuation of the Company’s share repurchase programs or dividend payments thereunder; delay or prevention of stockholders’ ability to change the composition of the Company’s board of directors and the effect this may have on takeover attempts that some of the Company’s stockholders might consider beneficial; the effect of provisions of the Company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation and Amended and Restated Bylaws that limit ownership and voting of its equity interests, including its common stock; the effect of limitations in the Company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation on acquisitions and dispositions of its common stock designed to protect its NOL Carryforwards and certain other tax attributes, which may limit the liquidity of its common stock; and other economic, business, competitive, and/or regulatory factors affecting the Company’s business, including those set forth in the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2016 (especially in Part I, Item 2, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and Part II, Item 1A, Risk Factors) and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s other filings with the SEC. There may be other factors of which the Company is not currently aware that may affect matters discussed in the forward-looking statements and may also cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof or as of the dates indicated in the statements. The Company does not assume any obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting these forward-looking statements other than as required by law.
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information