Delaware | 1-8400 | 75-1825172 | ||
Delaware | 1-2691 | 13-1502798 | ||
(State or other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) |
4333 Amon Carter Blvd., Fort Worth, Texas | 76155 | |
4333 Amon Carter Blvd., Fort Worth, Texas | 76155 | |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
N/A | ||
(Former name or former address if changed since last report.) |
☐ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
☐ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
☐ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
☐ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
☐ | Emerging growth company |
ITEM 7.01. | REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE. |
ITEM 9.01. | FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS. |
(d) Exhibits. | ||
Exhibit No. | Description | |
99.1 |
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC. | |||
Date: April 10, 2018 | By: | /s/ Derek J. Kerr | |
Derek J. Kerr | |||
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
AMERICAN AIRLINES, INC. | |||
Date: April 10, 2018 | By: | /s/ Derek J. Kerr | |
Derek J. Kerr | |||
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
● | Accounting Changes - On January 1, 2018, the company adopted two new Accounting Standard Updates: (ASUs): ASU 2014-09: Revenue from Contracts with Customers (the “New Revenue Standard”) and ASU 2017-07: Retirement Benefits (the “New Retirement Standard”). The company has recast certain 2017 financial information previously reported in accordance with GAAP in effect as of December 31, 2017 to reflect the adoption of these standards. This recast financial information is included in Exhibit 99.3 of the Form 8-K issued on January 25, 2018. All 2018 guidance is based off the recast 2017 financial information. |
● | Special items - The company expects its pre-tax net special items in the first quarter will approximate $195 million. Net special items principally include merger integration and fleet restructuring expenses. |
● | Revenue - The company now expects its first quarter total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM) to be up approximately 3.0 to 4.0 percent year-over-year versus its previous guidance of up approximately 2.0 to 4.0 percent. |
● | Fuel - The company expects to pay an average of between $2.08 and $2.13 per gallon of consolidated jet fuel (including taxes) in the first quarter. |
● | CASM - Consistent with previous guidance, consolidated CASM excluding fuel and special items is expected to be up approximately 2.0 percent1 in 2018. First quarter consolidated CASM excluding fuel and special items is expected to be up approximately 3.0 percent1 year-over-year due primarily to salary and benefit increases provided to our team members (including the salary increases given to our pilots and flight attendants, which became effective on April 26, 2017), higher revenue-related expenses, increased rent and landing fees, and higher depreciation and amortization resulting from increased capex. The company continues to expect its 2019 and 2020 CASM excluding fuel, special items and new labor agreements to be up approximately 1.0 to 2.0 percent in each year. |
● | Capacity - Consistent with previous guidance, 2018 total system capacity is expected to be up 2.5 percent vs. 2017 on a schedule over schedule basis. Actual capacity growth will be slightly higher due to the year-over-year impact of the flight cancellations resulting from two consecutive hurricanes that hit Florida and the Caribbean in September 2017 (assuming no similar events in 2018). Growth is driven by utilization (~2.0 pts), expected completion factor (~0.5 pts) and increased gauge (~0.5 pts). Domestic capacity is expected to be up approximately 3.0 percent year-over-year, with international capacity expected to be up approximately 2.5 percent. |
● | Liquidity - As of March 31, 2018, the company had approximately $7.8 billion in total available liquidity, comprised of unrestricted cash and investments of $5.3 billion and $2.5 billion in undrawn revolver capacity. The company also had a restricted cash position of $294 million. |
● | Capital Expenditures - The company expects to spend $3.7 billion in capex in 2018, including $1.9 billion in aircraft and $1.8 billion in non-aircraft capex. The company now expects to spend $2.5 billion in aircraft and $1.8 billion in non-aircraft capex in 2019 and $1.7 billion in aircraft and $1.6 billion in non-aircraft capex in 2020. The company recently adjusted its new aircraft delivery schedule, which reduced aircraft capex from previous guidance for 2019 and 2020 with the assumption of sale-leaseback financing for the additional 787-8 aircraft. Details of the revised aircraft delivery schedule can be found in the following pages. |
● | Taxes - As of December 31, 2017, the company had approximately $10.0 billion of federal net operating losses (NOLs) and $3.4 billion of state NOLs, substantially all of which are expected to be available in 2018 to reduce future federal and state taxable income. The company expects to recognize a provision for income taxes in 2018 at an effective rate of approximately 24 percent, which will be substantially non-cash. Additionally, the company expects to record a $22 million special tax charge to establish a required valuation allowance related to its estimated refund of Alternative Minimum Tax Credits (AMT). |
● | Pre-tax Margin and EPS - Based on the assumptions outlined above, the company now expects its first quarter pre-tax margin excluding special items to be approximately 4.0 to 5.0 percent1. In addition, the company continues to expect to report full year 2018 earnings per diluted share excluding special items between $5.50 and $6.501 |
1. | For a reconciliation of special items (including the company’s estimates for the first quarter), please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. |
• | All operating expenses are presented on a consolidated basis. |
• | First quarter consolidated CASM excluding fuel and special items is expected to be up approximately 3.0 percent in the first quarter. This year-over-year increase is primarily driven by the impact of the company’s mid-contract pay increases to its pilots and flight attendants, which became effective on April 26, 2017, higher revenue-related expenses, increased rent and landing fees, and higher depreciation and amortization resulting from increased capex. |
• | Second quarter consolidated CASM excluding fuel and special items has increased from previous guidance due to lower estimated capacity (0.5 pts) and a timing shift of expenses from the first quarter (0.5 pts). |
1Q18E | 2Q18E | 3Q18E | 4Q18E | FY18E2 | |||||
Consolidated Guidance1 | |||||||||
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) | ~65.8 | ~73.1 | ~76.0 | ~69.1 | ~284.1 | ||||
Cargo Revenues ($ mil)3 | ~225 | ~250 | ~250 | ~270 | ~995 | ||||
Other Revenues ($ mil)3 | ~695 | ~660 | ~690 | ~685 | ~2,730 | ||||
Average Fuel Price (incl. taxes) ($/gal) (as of 4/6/2018) | 2.08 to 2.13 | 2.06 to 2.11 | 2.03 to 2.08 | 2.01 to 2.06 | 2.04 to 2.09 | ||||
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) | ~1,030 | ~1,151 | ~1,198 | ~1,090 | ~4,469 | ||||
CASM ex fuel and special items (YOY % change)4 | +2% to +4% | +2.5% to +4.5% | +0.5% to +2.5% | +0% to +2% | +1% to +3% | ||||
Interest Income ($ mil) | ~(25) | ~(26) | ~(26) | ~(27) | ~(104) | ||||
Interest Expense ($ mil) | ~265 | ~273 | ~267 | ~264 | ~1,069 | ||||
Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense ($ mil)5 | ~(82) | ~(76) | ~(76) | ~(76) | ~(310) | ||||
CAPEX Guidance ($ mil) Inflow/(Outflow) | |||||||||
Non-Aircraft CAPEX | ~(390) | ~(470) | ~(470) | ~(470) | ~(1,800) | ||||
Gross Aircraft CAPEX & net PDPs | ~(395) | ~(380) | ~(659) | ~(469) | ~(1,904) | ||||
Assumed Aircraft Financing | ~208 | ~221 | ~718 | ~436 | ~1,583 | ||||
Net Aircraft CAPEX & PDPs2 | ~(187) | ~(160) | ~59 | ~(34) | ~(321) |
1. | Includes guidance on certain non-GAAP measures, which exclude special items. The company is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking projections to GAAP as the nature or amount of special items cannot be determined at this time. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. |
2. | Numbers may not recalculate due to rounding. |
3. | Cargo/Other revenue includes cargo revenue, loyalty program revenue, and contract services. |
4. | CASM ex fuel and special items is a non-GAAP financial measure. |
5. | Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense primarily includes non-service related pension and retiree medical benefit income/costs, gains and losses from foreign currency, and income/loss from the company’s approximate 25% ownership interest in Republic Airways Holdings Inc. |
• | On April 6, 2018, the company announced that it had agreed with Airbus to terminate its order for 22 A350 aircraft, which were originally scheduled for delivery in 2020 - 2024. In addition, the company announced that it had agreed to acquire an additional 47 Boeing 787 aircraft, with deliveries scheduled to commence in 2020 and continue through 2026. The company also entered into an agreement with Boeing to defer the delivery of 40 B738 MAX aircraft, scheduled for delivery in 2020 - 2022. These aircraft will now be delivered in 2025 and 2026. |
• | In 2018, the company expects to take delivery of 22 mainline aircraft comprised of 16 B738 MAX aircraft and 6 B789 aircraft. The company also expects to retire 19 MD80 mainline aircraft. |
• | In 2018, the company expects to reduce the regional fleet count by a net of 4 aircraft, resulting from the addition of 9 CRJ700 aircraft, 6 E175 aircraft and 28 ERJ140 aircraft, as well as the reduction of 33 CRJ200 aircraft, 3 Dash 8-100 aircraft and 11 Dash 8-300 aircraft. |
Active Mainline Year Ending Fleet Count | Active Regional Year Ending Fleet Count1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2017A | 2018E | 2019E | 2020E | 2017A | 2018E | 2019E | 2020E | |||||||||||||||||
A319 | 125 | 125 | 125 | 125 | CRJ200 | 68 | 35 | 35 | 35 | |||||||||||||||
A320 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | CRJ700 | 110 | 119 | 111 | 111 | |||||||||||||||
A321 | 219 | 219 | 219 | 219 | CRJ900 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 118 | |||||||||||||||
A321neo | — | — | 22 | 47 | DASH 8-100 | 3 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||
A332 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | DASH 8-300 | 11 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||
A333 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | E175 | 148 | 154 | 159 | 159 | |||||||||||||||
B738 | 304 | 304 | 304 | 284 | ERJ140 | 21 | 49 | 49 | 49 | |||||||||||||||
B738 MAX | 4 | 20 | 40 | 50 | ERJ145 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 118 | |||||||||||||||
B757 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 24 | 597 | 593 | 590 | 590 | ||||||||||||||||
B763 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
B772 | 47 | 47 | 47 | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||
B773 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||
B788 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||
B789 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 22 | ||||||||||||||||||||
E190 | 20 | 20 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
MD80 | 45 | 26 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
948 | 951 | 943 | 947 |
1. | At the end of the first quarter, the company had 23 ERJ140 regional aircraft in temporary storage, which are not included in the active regional ending fleet count. |
• | The estimated weighted average shares outstanding for 2018 are listed below. |
• | On January 25, 2017, the company’s Board authorized a $2.0 billion share repurchase program to expire by the end of 2018, which was completed in the first quarter. The total amount of shares repurchased since the merger is $11.0 billion. |
• | In the first quarter of 2018, the company repurchased 8.4 million shares at a cost of $450 million. Including share repurchases, shares withheld to cover taxes associated with employee equity awards and share distributions, and the cash extinguishment of convertible debt, the company’s share count has dropped 38 percent from 756.1 million shares at merger close to 467.4 million shares outstanding on March 31, 2018. |
2018 Shares Outstanding (shares mil)1 | ||||||
Shares | ||||||
For Q1 | Basic | Diluted | ||||
Earnings | 472 | 475 | ||||
Net loss | 472 | 472 | ||||
Shares | ||||||
For Q2-Q4 Average | Basic | Diluted | ||||
Earnings | 468 | 470 | ||||
Net loss | 468 | 468 | ||||
Shares | ||||||
For FY 2018 Average | Basic | Diluted | ||||
Earnings | 469 | 471 | ||||
Net loss | 469 | 469 |
1. | Shares outstanding are based upon several estimates and assumptions, including average per share stock price and stock award activity and does not assume any future share repurchases. The number of shares in actual calculations of earnings per share will likely be different from those set forth above. |
American Airlines Group Inc. GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation ($ mil except ASM and CASM data) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q18 Range | 2Q18 Range | 3Q18 Range | 4Q18 Range | FY18 Range | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated operating expenses | $ | 9,888 | $ | 10,088 | $ | 10,291 | $ | 10,503 | $ | 10,459 | $ | 10,679 | $ | 10,027 | $ | 10,238 | $ | 40,608 | $ | 41,451 | |||||||||||||||||||
Less fuel expense | 2,142 | 2,194 | 2,371 | 2,429 | 2,432 | 2,492 | 2,191 | 2,245 | 9,136 | 9,360 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less special items | 195 | 195 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 195 | 195 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated operating expense excluding fuel and special items | 7,551 | 7,699 | 7,920 | 8,074 | 8,028 | 8,187 | 7,836 | 7,993 | 31,277 | 31,896 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated CASM (cts) | 15.03 | 15.33 | 14.08 | 14.37 | 13.76 | 14.05 | 14.51 | 14.82 | 14.29 | 14.59 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated CASM excluding fuel and special items (Non-GAAP) (cts) | 11.48 | 11.70 | 10.83 | 11.05 | 10.56 | 10.77 | 11.34 | 11.57 | 11.01 | 11.23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YOY (%) | 2.0 | % | 4.0 | % | 2.5 | % | 4.5 | % | 0.5 | % | 2.5 | % | 0.0 | % | 2.0 | % | 1.0 | % | 3.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated ASMs (bil) | 65.8 | 65.8 | 73.1 | 73.1 | 76.0 | 76.0 | 69.1 | 69.1 | 284.1 | 284.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating (income)/expense1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating (income)/expense | $ | (82 | ) | $ | (82 | ) | $ | (76 | ) | $ | (76 | ) | $ | (76 | ) | $ | (76 | ) | $ | (76 | ) | $ | (76 | ) | $ | (310 | ) | $ | (310 | ) | |||||||||
Less special items | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating (income)/expense excluding special items | (82 | ) | (82 | ) | (76 | ) | (76 | ) | (76 | ) | (76 | ) | (76 | ) | (76 | ) | (310 | ) | (310 | ) |
Notes: | Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding. |
1. | Includes the company’s estimate for special items for the first quarter. Net special items principally include merger integration and fleet restructuring expenses. |